Hand of the Day, 15 Oct 2026

Thursday, 15 October 2026. Hand of the Day number 4. Difficulty 4 of 7: the week gets harder from Monday to Sunday.

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DaveRegularThursday

Dave never shows a card until the end: you have the betting and the board to go on.

  1. PreflopRaise to 5 big blinds
  2. Flop7♣2♠10♣Bet 1/3 pot

Which hand does Dave most likely have?

Show the answer

Most likely: Air

87of 180 combos are air
180combos left after Dave’s betting
A bluffwhat Dave held

Air is the biggest slice of the range by weight: about 44.6 of its 87 combos play this line. A small c-bet is a range bet: it comes with most of a raising range, and most of that range missed this board. Dave had J♦ A♣: a bluff, just as the odds said.

Dave held J♦A♣

The working
  1. Range. Dave’s line leaves 180 combos, about 106.5 by weight of 1,326 180 of 1,326 combos
  2. Air. 87 combos, about 44.6 by weight 87 of 180 combos
  3. A seven or a pocket pair. 30 combos, about 26.2 by weight 30 of 180 combos
  4. Overpair. 24 combos, about 14.5 by weight 24 of 180 combos
  5. Top pair, top kicker. 12 combos, about 7.4 by weight 12 of 180 combos
  6. Flush draw. 9 combos, about 4.9 by weight 9 of 180 combos
  7. Top pair, weak kicker. 6 combos, about 3.9 by weight 6 of 180 combos
  8. Set. 6 combos, about 2.5 by weight 6 of 180 combos
  9. Top pair, good kicker. 6 combos, about 2.4 by weight 6 of 180 combos
  10. By weight. Hands taken only some of the time count at part weight, so the biggest slice is the one with the most weight.
  11. By kind. Value 25%, pairs 28%, draws and bluffs 47%. The kind of hand is the read that matters most; the biggest slice is the detail.
  12. Showdown. Dave had J♦ A♣: Air, 87 combos of the 180 J♦A♣

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